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NCRA demographic risk projections · 3 scenarios · Based on 2000-2023 trends

Preprint P02c · DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.19116685

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NCRA Risk Score Projection

Optimistic: structural reforms + healthcare investment · Base: current trend continuation · Pessimistic: accelerated aging without policy response

📚 Source

Projections based on NCRA Dataset v1.0 temporal trends (2000-2023) using linear extrapolation with scenario adjustments. See full methodology: DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.19116685