NCRA demographic risk projections · 3 scenarios · Based on 2000-2023 trends
Optimistic: structural reforms + healthcare investment · Base: current trend continuation · Pessimistic: accelerated aging without policy response
Projections based on NCRA Dataset v1.0 temporal trends (2000-2023) using linear extrapolation with scenario adjustments. See full methodology: DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.19116685